By Jon Scheve, Superior Feed Ingredients, LLC
Corn yield estimates were reduced, slightly shrinking supply, while harvested acres were unchanged in USDA’s November report.
Three weeks ago, I suggested there were demand issues within the USDA’s Feed, Ethanol and Export categories. This week’s report reduced demand in every category and with the ethanol grind and export data under-pacing USDA estimates the past couple months, this was probably justified.
The feed category will be difficult to track. I’ve suggested the large wheat supply will likely replace some corn for feed if cash corn values remain strong while cash wheat prices remain at 10-year lows. However, over the last month feed ingredient prices have increased dramatically. Normally these by-products from corn, bean and wheat processing trade at values that encourage some livestock producers to replace corn and/or bean meal in the feed ration. The prices are so high now that many of these by-products should actually be replaced with corn and bean meal.