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Rain totals Monday night-Tuesday

Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast – October 17, 2019

No major changes in the forecast this morning, but we are watching the last part of next week closely for any potential changes in the days ahead.

Today we turn out mostly sunny and cool, but dry. Tomorrow we turn warmer with strong south flow developing. Sunny, breezy conditions are expected.

On Saturday we start with sunshine but will see clouds increase through the day. Scattered showers develop in the evening and then continue through mid morning Sunday. Rain totals are still unimpressive, mostly .3″ or less, with 70% coverage. The balance of Sunday brings a return of sunshine and warm air holds.

Rain totals Monday night-Tuesday

On Monday look for sun to be followed by increasing clouds, but we should be dry for all day time hours. A strong cold front sweeps through overnight Monday night through Tuesday early afternoon. This front has potential for .25″-.75″ rains with coverage at 100%. Thunderstorms are possible too, but will have the biggest farther west of Ohio. We should be breezy on both sides of the frontal passage, from the south first, and then the north-northwest, as colder air blasts in behind the front.

Partly to mostly sunny skies expected for next Wednesday and Thursday. We will be cool Wednesday, but should warm again on Thursday. This will be ahead of another front for late in the week. Clouds build on Friday and we are keeping a chance of showers and thunderstorm in our forecast. Some models have dramatically reduced the rain potential from the front, but we are leaving our forecast alone right now, and will revisit in the days ahead. We currently see the front with .25″-1″ rain potential and 60% coverage. We turn colder again behind the front on Saturday the 26th, even if precipitation threats get reduced.

For the extended 11-16 day period, we see potential for showers over the southern half to third of Ohio Sunday the 27th, with .25″-.75″ of moisture and 60% coverage from I-70 south. The rest of the state turns out partly to mostly sunny. Then we are dry the rest of the period right on through November 1, with colder air in play. In fact, we cant rule out a few early morning flurries over northern parts of Ohio Tuesday the 29th, but that is not a big threat at the moment.

The main takeaway this morning from the forecast is that we are going to start to see more significant swings in temperatures, and the next two weeks will feature more frequent swings back and forth in temps too. This will likely serve to enhance precipitation threats, when they are around.

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