Sunny and dry today to start the week, but we are still dealing with a little chill this morning. We should see temps moderate a little more this afternoon as south winds develop. That south flow continues tomorrow ahead our our next weather system.
Tomorrow should be mostly dry as well. Clouds will be building through the day, especially earlier on in the north. However, other than a few spits or sprinkles from US 20 north, we don’t think much happens during the daylight hours. Better organized showers do develop overnight, moving in from the SW. This will bring rain totals of a few hundredths to .6″ to about 80% of the state. The heaviest and best action will be either side of a line from the Cleveland-Akron area down to Cincy-Dayton. The area with the best chance of missing rain coming in far NW Ohio. The rain potential lingers through most of Wednesday, but decreases dramatically after 1PM.
Dry the rest of the week Thursday through Saturday. We initially have colder air in for early Thursday morning, but just like today, we expect temps will moderate quickly and impressively by Friday and Saturday. Temps can easily be above normal before our next rain event arrives.
Right now, we are keeping Sunday mostly dry. This has the ability to change…as the system looks to be large and strong…which can affect speed and arrival. Right now we think the heavy rains wait until Monday. So, Sunday will likely have sun followed by clouds, and then we are projecting rain and thunderstorm action overnight Sunday through all of Monday. These rains can be significant, with .5″-2″ potential, and some models are showing closer to 4. The storms will be strong. This event will bring a significant halt to harvest progress, as we see it right now. Temps will be well above normal ahead of the front. The map at right shows total rain potential through the late weekend-Monday event.
Behind that system, we clear out and go dry for Tuesday and Wednesday. Temps fall, but will not be as cold as recent cold frontal passages…likely just returning to near normal levels.