Our forecast is a little wetter this morning. Rain for the second half of this weekend looks more intense, and then we also are going ahead with adding in moisture for the second half of next week. So, while we still have a bit of dry weather left, the opportunities from here forward pull back some.
Today we turn out partly to mostly sunny and warm across the state. Temps will be above normal, and we should see good evaporation. Rates will be at maximum of .25” per day. Breezes will also help drying today, and we should see great opportunity for additional forage work too. The only place we need to watch for any significant action today will down right near the Ohio river…where there can be clouds and a few isolated showers. The rest of the state looks good. Tomorrow turns out partly to mostly sunny as well, although clouds can be increasing late afternoon and evening. Rain showers move in for Sunday and hold through Monday with higher rain totals now expected. On Sunday, we can see rains of a few hundredths to .5” with 700% coverage. For Monday look for .25″ to 1″ with the potential or thunderstorms.
Tuesday and Wednesday are still dry for next week. Sunshine is expected to dominate, with a return to good drying conditions. The problem will be that we only end up with 2 days’ worth of good, dry weather, before rain threats reemerge
Showers develop overnight next Wednesday night and continue into Thursday. Moisture does not look all that impressive, and coverage gives some holes, but we still have to deal with rain threats and lose 24 hours of drying. Rain totals will be a few hundredths to .4” and coverage 60%. After the morning showers Thursday, clouds give way to some brief sun. Friday rains are back for midday and afternoon, and they look better organized. 90% of the state can pick up .25”-.1” rain totals. The map at right shows rain potential through next Friday.
We finish our 10 day window with dry weather for Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th. However, models are well divided on that finish, and that division is more apparent in the extended 11-16 day period as well, with one model putting rain in the forecast pretty much every day of that extended period, and other looking for perhaps 1 front for the entire time frame. Right now, we are leaning toward a drier look with a threat of precipitation closer to the start of the extended period, and then dry from Tuesday night (18th) through Friday morning. Scattered showers likely return late afternoon and evening on the 21st.