Once again, we have no significant changes to our forecast this morning as the switch to a wetter pattern seems pretty locked in. Showers moved into the late yesterday and we will continue to see moisture rotating through Ohio all day today. Overall, rains are not all that impressive, and there may be a few holes in coverage. We think that up to 80% of the state can see rains from a few hundredths to .4″. We will be cool, however, with temps well below normal. Tomorrow turns out mostly sunny and we are able to finish the work week on a dry note.
Moisture returns to the area for Saturday, and we have that as the beginning of a very wet stretch of weather. We have rain in the forecast every day from Saturday through next Friday, which is a 2 day extension on the back end of the forecast window than what we were looking at 24 hours ago. The only chance we have at potentially missing a bit of rain will be next Tuesday, when the northern half to two thirds may have a 18-24 hour dry window. Otherwise, it’s looking pretty wet. Like we have the past couple of days, we will update the day by day look at things. On Saturday clouds will increase quickly over the state, and showers should arrive at midday to early afternoon at the latest. The showers will organize further overnight, and we can expect rains from .25″-.7″ over 90% of the state through Saturday night. Sunday we have additional showers bringing .2”-.8” over 80% of the state. Next Monday we can expect .25”-.1” from showers with 60% coverage, mostly in central Ohio. As we already mentioned, Tuesday may bring a mix of clouds and sun although we can’t rule out a renegade shower, and over the south central parts of the state, there may be a few more showers trying to pop up in the afternoon. from US 50 southward, scattered showers can deliver up to .25” Next Wednesday more organized showers return with rain totals from .1″-.5” and 70% coverage. Then showers bring .1”-.6” for Thursday and on Friday up to .3” with 70% coverage each day. All told, combined we see rains from Saturday through next Friday from 1.5”-4″ over 100% of the state. The map at right shows rain totals through next Friday. However, the 4.5″ to 5 inch totals are a little overzealous.
We finish the 10 day window with a hint of dry weather for next Saturday, the 22nd. However, we think it will be short lived. We start the extended 11-16 day period with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms all weekend for Sunday the 23rd, but rain totals look a little smaller, around .25”-.5”, while coverage is dropping to 60%. The rest of the extended window has drier weather for the Monday 24th and most of Tuesday the 25th. That evening showers develop and continue off and on through Wednesday the 26th. That has the potential to trigger a few hundredths to .4”, but with only 50% coverage. We finish our forecast window on the 27th with clouds giving way to sun. Overall, this forecast is still too wet.