We are leaving the forecast pretty much alone again this morning, with only a few minor tweaks here and there. Generally speaking, after today we shift back into a very active precipitation pattern over a large part of the eastern corn belt, and there will be plentiful, even excessive moisture potential here. Time for the play-by-play.
Today is our last dry day, we even start to choke this one off with a little moisture as we head toward late afternoon and evening. Sun will be over a large part of the state today, but we will see clouds increasing through the afternoon. Scattered showers and a threat of thunderstorms develop this late this afternoon and evening SW and central part of Ohio, and then spread over the rest of the state through tomorrow. Rains tonight overnight can bring .1″-1″ of moisture and then scattered showers for Thursday can deliver an additional few hundredths to .4″ Coverage will be nearly 90% of Ohio. Friday will be mostly sunny and dry over the entire state, giving a little break in the action. Temperatures will likely be a little cooler Friday into the weekend, and we do not see any significant warmth anywhere in the coming week to 10 days at least.
Saturday clouds increase over the state, and showers will develop mid to late afternoon, then these morph into better organized rains overnight. Combined, we expect rains from .25″-.7″ over 90% of the state through Saturday night. For Sunday, rains of .2″-.8″ are likely with 80% coverage. Monday, we have showers with .25”-1” potential and 60% coverage, a large part of that coming from US 24 down to US 50. Tuesday does not have a lot of moisture as we end up with cloudy to partly sunny skies,but we cant rule out a shower or two. Overnight Tuesday night into Wednesday we end up with showers giving .1
-.5″ and 70% coverage. All told, combined we see rains from Saturday through Wednesday with the potential of at least 1.5”-3” total liquid, and coverage of nearly all of the state. That is a lot of water and it will take time to deal with. The map at right shows rain totals through next Wednesday night.
Next Thursday we see less of a moisture threat, as clouds mix with some sun, but we can’t rule out an isolated shower or two and those would total nothing more than a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch of liquid. Then Friday we are partly sunny over most of the state, but still have to watch for a few clusters of thunderstorms developing later in the afternoon and evening.
We kick off the extended period with shower and thunderstorms all weekend for the 22nd and 23rd. That event can yield .5”-1.5” and 80% coverage. The rest of the extended window has drier weather for the 24th and most of the 25th, then showers from the evening of the 25th through the 26th giving a few hundredths to .4”, but only 50% coverage. We finish our forecast window on the 27th with clouds giving way to sun. Overall, this forecast is just too wet, and does not give much of a window for additional planting in our region. Feel free to hope and pray that we are wrong. We’re totally fine with that!