Another dry day today across all of Ohio, but it likely will be the last one, at least for the entire state for a little bit. Temps today should be about 5-7 degrees warmer than yesterday and this will be our second straight day of near maximum evaporation rates…which is truly needed at this time. Sunshine should dominate.
Scattered showers move into far northern Ohio by mid to late morning tomorrow morning (perhaps sooner in far NW Ohio), and then slowly spread south across a large part of the rest of the state. Moisture totals are not all that large, but we do see enough moisture to blatantly stop any drying. Scattered showers continue off an on Wednesday, and then we see a well organized batch of rain and even the potential for a few thunderstorms on Thursday into early Friday. Rains today will bring a few hundredths to .25” with 60% coverage, and tomorrow’s action triggers similar totals with 50% coverage. Rain Thursday can produce .1”-.5” with 75% coverage, and the 3 day totals likely ends up giving us .2”-.75” over 70% of the state. This is a little better than our concerns late last week…and most of the lower totals is tied to lesser thunderstorm threats. If thunderstorms ramp back up before arriving on Thursday, our combined totals will have to ramp up too. The map at right shows combined moisture potential of this week (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday).
Friday afternoon will start to dry, as rains exit the state morning and midday. Clouds will give way to sunshine. Sunny and dry weather continues for the weekend and then Monday and Tuesday of next week. If you are keeping track at home…that is a 5 day stretch of back to back dry weather! The threat of thunderstorms this coming Saturday night and Sunday has dissipated.
We have a little bit of scattered shower action that tries to return next Wednesday afternoon or evening, but it looks light, at a few hundredths to .3” and 60% coverage. For the extended period, we get another chance of showers about 24 to 30 hours later, overnight Thursday night into Friday, with similar amounts and coverages. The best chance of rain in the extended period rolls in for the 20th into the 21st with .25”-1” rain totals and coverage at 80%. Then behind that we may see a little more lingering shower potential the 22nd, before drying back down to finish the period.
Temps over this coming forecast window look to be near normal. We are a little above today into tomorrow and Wednesday, but cool off significantly behind our frontal boundary late int eh week. Next week features a similar up and down move in temps.