Our forecast is cautiously optimistic this morning. While we cant rule out moisture of the coming days, we think that we end up with better sunshine and dry chances than we had bee looking for, and we are definitely better off than our neighbors to the west. Here is a look at our thoughts this morning.
We turn out partly sunny for most of the day today over most of Ohio. We can see a few hit ad miss showers tonight in SW parts of the state, but generally we miss out on big moisture today. The same story will be here tomorrow…partly sunny skies with little to no precipitation threat. Our best chance of rain comes Sunday with showers that bring .1″-.7″ to 90% of the state. The for memorial Day on Monday, we see a mix of clouds and sun, but only a few widely scattered showers. Coverage for Monday will be 2o-30% or less. So..that is not a bad forecast window, and it may be enough to allow some progress here, particularly over the next 2 days…but it will be touch and go given our earlier week rains.
Tuesday continues to be our partly to mostly sunny, completely dry day. We expect good drying and excellent evaporation for that day. Wednesday clouds will be on the increase, and showers return for late afternoon and evening. Rain totals there will be from a few hundredths up to .4″ and 60% coverage. For Thursday additional showers bring a few hundredths to .3″ and 70% coverage…so most of us will see some form of precipitation at midweek next week. We turn dry Friday with mostly sunny skies. The map at right shows rain through next Friday.
We finish out the 10 day period next weekend with scattered showers for Saturday June 1. Again, like previous chances, the showers are not all that impressive, triggering .1″-.4″ and 70% coverage. Then we turn drier for Sunday the 2nd as clouds give way to sun.
For the extended period, we are shifting some later rains forward, and increasing totals. Rains are back over the area for Monday the 3rd with potential for .25”-1.25” rain totals and 100% coverage. Thunderstorms become more likely for Tuesday the 4th with 1-2” rains and 100% coverage. That will set us back a bit if they come together as we see them right now. WE do put together 2 dry days for Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th with a lot of sunshine and warmer air. Then clouds increase again for Friday the 7th as scattered showers arrive from the south. Those continue to move north through the overnight into Saturday the 8th. However, coverage will be minor enough to also allow for mixed clouds and sun Saturday midday and afternoon.
Temperatures generally stay normal to above normal here through the next week, but we do turn cooler next Thursday and Friday behind next week’s strong cold front. Temps there could be below normal each day. A return to warmer air finishes out the 11-16 day period.