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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast, April 17, 2019

A mix of clouds and sun expected over the Ohio today as warm air continues to push into the region. We expect more clouds in the north, but better sunshine potential in the central and southern parts of the state. Southwest flow will continue through the day. A minor disturbance lingers over MI and southern Ontario this morning, and clouds from that will be drifting across Lake Erie and into northern Ohio.  We see chances of a few scattered to isolated showers in those areas, down to around US 20. WE do not expect anything of consequence through the day farther south.  However, clouds will be increasing as we move through the afternoon and evening.

Rain and thunderstorms arrive tomorrow. However, we likely will not see much of that truly get here until mid to late afternoon and the moisture ramps up overnight tomorrow night through Thursday. That means tomorrow morning and afternoon we continue to see clouds build, but will see some sunshine too. The more sun we see, the bigger the concern will be for thunderstorms in the afternoon and at night, as we charge up the atmosphere with extra energy. The rains from tomorrow late afternoon through Friday will be from .5″-1.5″ with coverage near 100% .Then we see lingering rain through Saturday bringing up to another half inch of rain over 70% of Ohio. Clouds finally give way to better sun on Sunday, but perhaps not until the afternoon. The map at right shows system total rain potential through Sunday morning.

Next week starts damp. Scattered showers return for Monday with 75% of Ohio seeing up to half an inch of rain. Tuesday scattered showers bring 40% coverage to the entire state with rain totals up to .25”. Then Wednesday afternoon we see the largest slug of moisture arrive with a frontal boundary. . Rain and thunderstorms Wednesday late afternoon through Thursday trigger totals of .25”-1” with 90% coverage.

Partly to mostly sunny skies finally muscle back in for Friday. As we transition into the extended period, we keep dry weather in over most of the state for Saturday the 27th but have to look for showers from US 50 south. Partly sunny skies are expected for Sunday the 28th. If this pattern is realized, that will be a significant dry window for at least half of the state…but it comes after some pretty significant moisture to start next week.

As we finish April and move into May, we have rain returning Monday evening, the 29th, and continuing through midday Tuesday, the 30th. This brings .25”-.75” with 80% coverage. It will be followed up with scattered showers for Wednesday, May first, with .2” or less expected. A dry finish to the 16 day period is anticipated at this time for the 2nd.

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