Cold air holding over Ohio puts us in a position to see some lingering light snow and flurry action not only today, but on through tomorrow. Moisture over the state is not all that spectacular, but there is enough to keep us on our toes. A fresh coating is possible over about 50% of the state today, and intermittent flurries can be seen tomorrow. We have to keep a chance of heavier accumulations of an inch or two in northeast Ohio today as well, due to strong north and northwest winds still interacting with the Lake to produce snow. Now, while the cold air dominates into the start of the weekend, the precipitation does not. We look for a much drier pattern to emerge this weekend and early next week. High pressure will be working across Ohio tomorrow afternoon and Saturday. The north winds around the front of the low bring the cold air in, but we finish the weekend, with south and southeast flow up the backside of the high. That should allow temps to moderate just a bit. The map below show temps as they relate to normal tomorrow afternoon.
On Monday, we see warming continue with good south wind flow. However, we have a few more clouds that come in as the warm air arrives. This may allow for a few spits and sprinkles overnight Monday night into the first part of Tuesday, but at this time, this looks highly disorganized, and likely is not going to be an issue. That is why we are keeping our forecast dry, in terms of actual precipitation. That dryness goes through the end of the week, right through Saturday. We will see a significant change in air mass, though, going into Wednesday and Thursday. Winds shift back to the northwest, and we will see cooler temps in that period. The low tracks across the great lakes, and we should be able to see good sun through the end of the week, in spite of the cool down.
The extended forecast pattern suggests we still see our next good front late on the 17th into the 18th, with rains of .2”-.6” over the state. The best coverage looks to be over the southern half of the state. We follow that up with dry weather for a good 3 days, and then another low moves in around the 22nd, bringing rains of .1”-.5” and coverage a little better at 80%. Still, the dry pattern for the next week to 10 days means we will be ready and likely willing to accept some moisture out of those extended period systems.