Dry and chilly today and tomorrow. However, we should see ore sunshine statewide, and temps may moderate just a touch for tomorrow.
Our next system noses into SW Ohio Saturday around midday. This system is diving southeast, and will end up missing a large chunk of Ohio. At this time, we think rain finishes the day from I-70 southward to the tune of .25”-1”. North of I-70, we see nothing. The map at right shows cumulative precipitation by Sunday midday. Cold air blasts into the state overnight Saturday night and Sunday morning. That means there is a very real chance that the precipitation will end as some sloppy wet snow. Again the better chances for accumulation will be in southern Ohio, where the liquid is moving through, but even there, you see the best precipitation be outside of the coldest air. Still, we have to leave the door open to minor accumulations of a coating to an inch over about 30% of the southern part of the state.
Dry for Monday of next week, but then we see a very complicated mess for the Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday time frame. We kick things off with a front for Monday overnight through Tuesday. This event can bring .05”-.5” precipitation to 70% of the state. From there, we see additional chances for showers Tuesday and Wednesday that can bring another few hundredths to few tenths. If you combine all three days together, you end up with .25”-.6” rain totals over about 60% of the state. It will be a wet period, but not overly excessive moisture. Temps climb for Monday on south winds ahead of this mess, but then pull back to near normal and slightly below normal levels for midweek. We shift back to a dry pattern briefly for next Friday.
Easter weekend looks wet still, but we are shifting our storm system back about 12-18 hours. Rains now likely develop Saturday evening, the 31st, and then really ramp up for Easter Sunday, the 1st. This is mostly due to the low splitting, and the first wave pushing farther south and east. This will set up similar to what we saw with the events over the past 24 hours, and a strong storm could move up the coast again. So, with this change in arrival and track, we are pulling our range back to .5”-1.5”, and the upper end of the range may develop over southern Indiana. From there, we are dry for the 2nd through the 4th, and a strong storm complex moves through around the 5th. This front will look to bring rains from .25”-.5”, but may raise the specter of a few thunderstorms as well. Strong high pressure will move in for the 6th forward.