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Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast — February 26, 2018

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Finally!! Rain is done in Ohio…at least for a few days. We saw the sun for the first time in a while yesterday afternoon, and we should see good sunshine potential in most areas today, tomorrow and Wednesday. High pressure sits over west central to southwest Ohio this morning and will slowly work its way eastward. As it does so, we should see some south flow come up the backside of the high, and that will promote a slight moderation of temps. The state stays mostly dry, but there is one caveat, and that comes at midweek later Wednesday afternoon and evening. Wednesday we have a wave passing by mostly south of the Ohio River. We should see rains in KY and WV Wednesday into Wednesday night, and we are leaving open the possibility that some minor moisture drifts north of the Ohio River into the southern third of Ohio. . We would be talking mostly about the far southern tier counties, particularly in south central Ohio, but the clouds from this would likely extend up to the I-70 corridor. So, while most of the state is dry through midweek, the pattern turns “more gray” over southern Ohio Wednesday, particularly later in the afternoon and evening. This will be a precursor to our next organized frontal system.

That system moves into the state for Thursday. Low pressure tracks across NW Indiana Thursday and we should find ourselves in the warm sector of this event through most of Thursday. It brings rains of .25”-1” to 80% of the state during the day. However, as the low lifts by to our north and west, we will see cold air whipping in behind the low as it move over the great lakes. This cold air comes as we still have some wrap around moisture over northern Ohio Thursday overnight into early Friday. We expect some snows as the system ends, with possible accumulation of 1-3 inches from US 30 northward. Everything should be done by shortly after daybreak Friday morning, although some lake enhanced snow can still be falling in NE Ohio at that time. Winds will make this a dramatic event, with winds likely in the 20-40 mph range overnight Thursday night into early Friday, which would make any snow up north an absolute pain to deal with. So, we will keep an eye on this event.

Back to drier weather for Friday midday through next Monday. High pressure will slowly work through the Sunday. Cold air holds over the region to finish the week and start the weekend, only moderating once we get south flow on the backside of that high.

A cold front brings rain back for overnight Monday night through Tuesday midday, the night of the 5th into the 6th. Rains do not look as impressive this morning, and will mostly be from .25”-.5” with coverage at 70% of the state. Colder air follows on the backside.

The extended period has us mostly devoid of new precipitation to start, through the 9th. Then we have 2 significant waves moving across the eastern Corn Belt from the 10th through the 12th. Combined, these waves can bring half to 1.5” rain totals, and likely will deliver below normal temps around mid-month. Still, the pattern does not look nearly as active as what we just got done with this past week…so we should be seeing improvement in our drainage conditions through the next couple of weeks.

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