To follow up on our I-75/I-71 Ohio Crop Tour, we got some of the actual yields from the fields we sampled in August. Below you can see how well (or how poorly) we did with our yield estimates.
County, Actual yield, Crop Tour estimate in August
Allen, 160, 136
Auglaize 150, 150
Darke, 205, 152
Fairfield, 206, 169
Hardin, 158, 150
Hancock, 180, 140
Henry, 185, 146
Miami, 196, 151
Morrow, 161, 142
Preble, 218, 180
Putnam, 150, 100
Richland, 175, 164
Ross, 168, 157
Wood, 152, 152
Warren, 165, 193
Williams, 203, 195
Here is our August report from the 2016 I-75/I-71 Crop Tour
“The 2016 growing season started wet and cool then turned hot and dry in many areas — a classic worst-case scenario for corn and soybeans. There were certainly some examples that showed up in fields on the 2016 I-75/I-71 Ohio Crop Tour displaying evidence of those challenging conditions. But, at the same time, we saw many more examples of how solid farm management practices made the most of some challenging weather situations and others capitalized on timely rains. The Tour was sponsored by AgroLiquid.
“In the West, the I-75 group had an average corn yield over both days of the Ohio Crop Tour of 148 bushels. Rather than break it down by days, the group felt it would be more appropriate to break the yields up geographically with corn yields north of I-70 in some of the tougher growing conditions averaging 134 bushels per acre and yields south of I-70 (where there was generally more rain in July) averaging 180 bushels.
“The Eastern leg of the Ohio Crop Tour also averaged 148 bushels over the two days. Day 1 in the East averaged 160 bushels and Day 2 averaged 151 bushels, an opposite yield trend of the West.
“In total, corn and soybean fields were sampled in 44 Ohio counties. The formula used in estimating corn yields is accurate plus or minus 30 bushels for the areas of the fields sampled.
“The Ohio average corn yield from the tour is 148 bushels. Soybeans were generally poor to average in the north and generally improved in southern Ohio, but with the recent rains Ohio’s soybeans have significant upside potential.”
In the Jan. 12, 2017 USDA report the final yield numbers were released. Ohio corn averaged 159 bushels, considerably above our 148-bushel estimate. Ohio soybeans averaged 54.5 bushels. After a tough, dry stretch, late rains really benefitted both corn and soybean yields around the state.